Biotech continues to grow exponentially, just like Moore’s Law in computer industries. This could trigger a major economic revolution on par with the Industrial or Information revolution. Or not. Predicting the future goes into the realm of science fiction.

Any tech filters down to the individual and small group level over time. So this could continue to empower smaller networks at the expense of the state.

Carlson’s Pace and Proliferation of Biotech describes the rapid growth in Biotech.


As for biotech security measures, he explains that regulation will actually make it less safe. The real answer lays with passive environmental monitoring, epidemiology, open sharing of knowledge, and basically what amounts to a biotech arms race.

Martin Shubik Terrorism, Technology, and the Socioeconomics of Death
Weapons in the past were inefficient killers. Only a small percentage of combtants were killed in wars. The compensate, states had to amass large labor-intensive armies to achieve destructive goals.

Since Industrialization, individual killing power has been growing and a stupefying exponential rate:
Bioweapons are a potential mass killer. It’s an old concept, but previous armies could not control diseases. Bioweapons could be civilization killers. Diease brough by Spanish carriers wiped out the Aztec and Incan Empires in America.

Something is changing very rapidly. Biotech is one of those future weapons systems which could make this process accelerate even faster.

But we’ll have to see.